Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 4.144604 4.932385 5.808540 6.852261 8.058602 9.405866 11.021083
2025-09-21 2.992695 3.999383 5.233821 6.846645 8.884519 11.358946 14.574113
2025-09-28 2.279892 3.359507 4.795278 6.817522 9.560575 13.115714 18.028829
2025-10-05 1.945531 3.110434 4.766898 7.246501 10.805506 15.660159 22.696618
2025-10-12 1.644666 2.832140 4.625712 7.459723 11.733615 17.826569 27.024516
2025-10-19 1.436885 2.645755 4.572753 7.766228 12.794006 20.239247 31.875016
2025-10-26 1.213289 2.385675 4.354971 7.771276 13.373973 21.971795 35.849390
2025-11-02 0.988874 2.077543 4.004442 7.501611 13.470119 22.950622 38.733639
2025-11-09 0.811208 1.817815 3.691710 7.242341 13.534258 23.855759 41.538837
2025-11-16 0.701985 1.667991 3.549952 7.255352 14.042968 25.495943 45.612463
2025-11-23 0.611236 1.537402 3.422505 7.272391 14.549192 27.156402 49.820266
2025-11-30 0.526115 1.401310 3.262253 7.202772 14.883180 28.536172 53.637130
2025-12-07 0.428661 1.218329 2.981912 6.869521 14.707613 29.038168 56.035362
2025-12-14 0.370743 1.117257 2.859243 6.838316 15.102396 30.585967 60.377264
2025-12-21 0.321094 1.025596 2.742143 6.801599 15.478162 32.121255 64.795822
2025-12-28 0.306654 1.024790 2.833867 7.227284 16.824658 35.563759 72.915165
2026-01-04 0.280961 0.986772 2.830658 7.439264 17.745733 38.255412 79.801836
2026-01-11 0.262660 0.966194 2.866968 7.744797 18.889204 41.451896 87.829004
2026-01-18 0.232245 0.901364 2.780386 7.749763 19.381963 43.394329 93.566654
2026-01-25 0.194770 0.803851 2.591070 7.480741 19.241010 44.048033 96.829468
2026-02-01 0.163380 0.717426 2.416070 7.222104 19.093264 44.668054 100.050535
2026-02-08 0.145253 0.672617 2.350805 7.235081 19.571153 46.617690 106.047900
2026-02-15 0.129423 0.631787 2.290169 7.252078 20.058364 48.616021 112.254685